Author: Huailiang Wu; Jian Huang; Casper JP Zhang; Zonglin He; Wai-kit Ming
Title: Facemask shortage and the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak: Reflection on public health measures Document date: 2020_2_12
ID: 6r6zwfoy_24
Snippet: In this study, we summarized the public health measures introduced by the Chinese government during the COVID-19 outbreak and simulated the facemask availability in three scenarios based on the scale of the outbreak. Our results suggested that if the COVID-19 outbreak only occurred in Wuhan (about 11.1 million population) or Hubei province (about 59.2 million population), a facemask shortage would not happen in China. We also simulated the facema.....
Document: In this study, we summarized the public health measures introduced by the Chinese government during the COVID-19 outbreak and simulated the facemask availability in three scenarios based on the scale of the outbreak. Our results suggested that if the COVID-19 outbreak only occurred in Wuhan (about 11.1 million population) or Hubei province (about 59.2 million population), a facemask shortage would not happen in China. We also simulated the facemask availability in three scenarios regarding different facemask productivity during the outbreak. Our analysis showed that if the outbreak occurs in the whole of China, a shortage of facemask would appear in less than a week and could be substantial under the existing public health measures. Only a dramatic increase in productivity (42.7 times the usual level) could mitigate the facemask shortage in time.
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