Author: Tarcisio M Rocha Filho; Fabiana S. Ganem dos Santos; Victor B Gomes; Thiago A.H. Rocha; Julio H.R. Croda; Walter M Ramalho; Wildo N Araujo
Title: Expected impact of COVID-19 outbreak in a major metropolitan area in Brazil Document date: 2020_3_17
ID: kvfau8j0_34
Snippet: More recently the percentage of asymptomatic cases was estimated to be as high as 34.6% [17] , 177 while all epidemic parameters previously obtained considered that all cases are symptomatic. On 178 the other hand, the number of asymptomatic cases is expected to have a significant impact on the 179 disease dynamics at later stages, when a substantial proportion was infected. It has nevertheless 180 important consequences in the efficiency of isol.....
Document: More recently the percentage of asymptomatic cases was estimated to be as high as 34.6% [17] , 177 while all epidemic parameters previously obtained considered that all cases are symptomatic. On 178 the other hand, the number of asymptomatic cases is expected to have a significant impact on the 179 disease dynamics at later stages, when a substantial proportion was infected. It has nevertheless 180 important consequences in the efficiency of isolation procedures. Although we consider here 181 that hospitalized individuals are no longer able to infect is an oversimplification, and may 182 contribute significantly to the number of reported cases among health professionals. The period 183 that an infected individual transmits the virus, as given in Tab 1, is probably underestimated and 184 was based on the oly available study that explcitly cites it [28] .
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