Author: Ruian Ke; Steven Sanche; Ethan Romero-Severson; Nicholas Hengartner
Title: Fast spread of COVID-19 in Europe and the US and its implications: even modest public health goals require comprehensive intervention Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: mbdah9ey_8
Snippet: for Germany (23·1%; CI: 5-85%). With such high epidemic growth rates, moderate intervention 45 efforts will have little impact on the public health outcome; high levels of efforts to achieve 46 greater than 77-86% reduction in transmission are needed, no matter the goal is to slowdown the 47 growth to protect a large fraction of population from infection within 18 months or to reverse the 48 growth all together. 49 50.....
Document: for Germany (23·1%; CI: 5-85%). With such high epidemic growth rates, moderate intervention 45 efforts will have little impact on the public health outcome; high levels of efforts to achieve 46 greater than 77-86% reduction in transmission are needed, no matter the goal is to slowdown the 47 growth to protect a large fraction of population from infection within 18 months or to reverse the 48 growth all together. 49 50
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