Author: Nina H Fefferman; Eric Lofgren; Nianpeng Li; Pieter Blue; David Weber; Abdul-Aziz Yakubu
Title: Fear, Access, and the Real-Time Estimation of Etiological Parameters for Outbreaks of Novel Pathogens Document date: 2020_3_20
ID: fcnkwwpw_4
Snippet: we discuss the implications of these corrections for both historical and current outbreaks. However, many of these models make an explicit assumption that detection of new 67 disease incidence is a function of well-understood confounders that remain mostly 68 invariant over the course of an outbreak, such as the probability of an infected person 69 developing symptoms. There are known corrections for instances that violate this 70 assumption of c.....
Document: we discuss the implications of these corrections for both historical and current outbreaks. However, many of these models make an explicit assumption that detection of new 67 disease incidence is a function of well-understood confounders that remain mostly 68 invariant over the course of an outbreak, such as the probability of an infected person 69 developing symptoms. There are known corrections for instances that violate this 70 assumption of constant detectability, such as when clinical case definition criteria are 71 critical in instances where estimated case incidence does not accurately reflect numbers 117 of infections (i.e. when case fatality rates and infection fatality rates differ significantly). 118
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