Author: Po Yang; Jun Qi; Shuhao Zhang; Xulong Wang; Gaoshan Bi; Yun Yang; Bin Sheng
Title: Feasibility Study of Mitigation and Suppression Intervention Strategies for Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks in London and Wuhan Document date: 2020_4_4
ID: 7yzib4j0_47
Snippet: Then, we evaluated when the outbreak of COVID-19 could occur by adjusting the value of parameter β2 in the UK case. As shown in Table. 2, we recorded the total recovered population, and if there would be a peak of outbreak. As the increased β2, the total recovered population was dramatically increased and generated a peak as β2 = 0.075. That meant that if we cannot guarantee at least 92.5% of UK population being not contacted by infectious peo.....
Document: Then, we evaluated when the outbreak of COVID-19 could occur by adjusting the value of parameter β2 in the UK case. As shown in Table. 2, we recorded the total recovered population, and if there would be a peak of outbreak. As the increased β2, the total recovered population was dramatically increased and generated a peak as β2 = 0.075. That meant that if we cannot guarantee at least 92.5% of UK population being not contacted by infectious people, it would be indispensable to have an outbreak of COVID-19. If the isolation intervention was less effective; the more population would be infectious; and the peak day was brought forwarded. In the early stage, taking high effective surveillance and isolation in any regions is necessary to avoid the outbreak of COVID-19.
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