Author: Marco Tulio Pacheco Coelho; Joao Fabricio Mota Rodrigues; Anderson Matos Medina; Paulo Scalco; Levi Carina Terribile; Bruno Vilela; Jose Alexandre Felizola Diniz-Filho; Ricardo Dobrovolski
Title: Exponential phase of covid19 expansion is not driven by climate at global scale Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: f0ahn4iu_3
Snippet: Because previous experimental (Lowen et al. 2007) , epidemiological (Shaman et al. 2010 , Barreca & Shimshack 2012 and modeling (Zuk et al. 2009 ) studies show the critical role of temperature and humidity on the survival and transmission of viruses, recent studies are testing the effect of environmental variables on SARS-CoV-2 (Wang et al. 2020 , Sajadi et al. 2020 ) and forecasting monthly scenarios of the spread of the new virus based on clima.....
Document: Because previous experimental (Lowen et al. 2007) , epidemiological (Shaman et al. 2010 , Barreca & Shimshack 2012 and modeling (Zuk et al. 2009 ) studies show the critical role of temperature and humidity on the survival and transmission of viruses, recent studies are testing the effect of environmental variables on SARS-CoV-2 (Wang et al. 2020 , Sajadi et al. 2020 ) and forecasting monthly scenarios of the spread of the new virus based on climate suitability (Araújo & Naimi 2020, but see Chipperfield et al. 2020) . Although temperature and humidity are known to affect the spread and survival of other coronaviruses (i.e., SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV, Tan et al. 2005 , Chan et al. 2011 , Doremalen et al. 2013 , Gaunt et al. 2010 ), using the current occurrences of SARS-CoV-2 cases to build correlative climatic suitability models without taking into consideration connectivity among different locations, geographical distance and socioeconomic conditions might be inadequate.
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