Author: Ruian Ke; Steven Sanche; Ethan Romero-Severson; Nicholas Hengartner
Title: Fast spread of COVID-19 in Europe and the US and its implications: even modest public health goals require comprehensive intervention Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: mbdah9ey_39
Snippet: The expressions above clearly establish that during the exponential growth of an epidemic, the 149 ratio between death counts Φ and the confirmed cases Ψ (i.e. two widely reported numbers in 150 public databases, publications and news reports) is not only dependent on infection fatality ratio 151 and the detection rate, but also a highly nonlinear relationship between the distribution of the 152 period from infection to death and the growth rat.....
Document: The expressions above clearly establish that during the exponential growth of an epidemic, the 149 ratio between death counts Φ and the confirmed cases Ψ (i.e. two widely reported numbers in 150 public databases, publications and news reports) is not only dependent on infection fatality ratio 151 and the detection rate, but also a highly nonlinear relationship between the distribution of the 152 period from infection to death and the growth rate, , as indicated by the <
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