Author: Ruian Ke; Steven Sanche; Ethan Romero-Severson; Nicholas Hengartner
Title: Fast spread of COVID-19 in Europe and the US and its implications: even modest public health goals require comprehensive intervention Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: mbdah9ey_47
Snippet: We estimated that the exponential growth rate of early outbreaks, r, ranges between 0·19 and 180 0·29/day in the nine countries, translating to doubling times between 2·4-3·7 days (Fig. 1) . The 181 two countries with the highest point estimates of the exponential rate are Spain and the US, at 182 0·29 and 0·28/day, respectively; whereas Switzerland and Netherlands have lower point 183 estimates at 0·19/day. Accounting for uncertainties in.....
Document: We estimated that the exponential growth rate of early outbreaks, r, ranges between 0·19 and 180 0·29/day in the nine countries, translating to doubling times between 2·4-3·7 days (Fig. 1) . The 181 two countries with the highest point estimates of the exponential rate are Spain and the US, at 182 0·29 and 0·28/day, respectively; whereas Switzerland and Netherlands have lower point 183 estimates at 0·19/day. Accounting for uncertainties in the parameter values (see Methods), we 184 . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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