Author: Po Yang; Jun Qi; Shuhao Zhang; Gaoshan Bi; Xulong Wang; Yun Yang; Bin Sheng; Xuxin Mao
Title: Feasibility of Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks in the UK by Rolling Interventions Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: b6r6j1ek_26
Snippet: Due to difference of population density between London and other regions in the UK, we observed a fact that the accumulative infections in London was about one third of the total infectious population in the UK. 22 We separately combined the calibrated model with data on the cases of COVID-19 in London, the UK (non-London) and the UK during February 2020 and March 2020 to estimate the total number of infections and deaths, and also peak time and .....
Document: Due to difference of population density between London and other regions in the UK, we observed a fact that the accumulative infections in London was about one third of the total infectious population in the UK. 22 We separately combined the calibrated model with data on the cases of COVID-19 in London, the UK (non-London) and the UK during February 2020 and March 2020 to estimate the total number of infections and deaths, and also peak time and value of healthcare demand by applying different interventions. In contain stage, we assumed a strategy of isolation contacts were taken in the UK from 6 th Feb 2020 to 12 th March 2020, the effectiveness of isolation of cases and contacts was assumed as 94% in London and 88% in non-London regions.
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