Author: Po Yang; Jun Qi; Shuhao Zhang; Xulong Wang; Gaoshan Bi; Yun Yang; Bin Sheng
Title: Feasibility Study of Mitigation and Suppression Intervention Strategies for Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks in London and Wuhan Document date: 2020_4_4
ID: 7yzib4j0_42
Snippet: Considering that 98% of contacts had to be traced, it implied that the surveillance and isolation was effective to scale down the group of contacts. In other words, we simulated a situation that from the second day of receiving confirmed case, only 5% of the overall population would be possible to contact the infectious ones. Then, the β2 = 0.05. The results were shown in the Fig.5 . The results show that in all four cases, the outbreaks of COVI.....
Document: Considering that 98% of contacts had to be traced, it implied that the surveillance and isolation was effective to scale down the group of contacts. In other words, we simulated a situation that from the second day of receiving confirmed case, only 5% of the overall population would be possible to contact the infectious ones. Then, the β2 = 0.05. The results were shown in the Fig.5 . The results show that in all four cases, the outbreaks of COVID-19 were successfully controlled, and had no peak time. There would be only 44, 56, 42 and 120 people that were infection and finally recovered at London, Wuhan, UK and Hubei. The overall period of COVID outbreak was less than 100 days. This finding was as similiar as the proof in [15] .
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