Author: Sang Woo Park; David Champredon; Joshua S. Weitz; Jonathan Dushoff
Title: A practical generation interval-based approach to inferring the strength of epidemics from their speed Document date: 2018_5_2
ID: jry46itn_13
Snippet: The "intrinsic" interval can be distinguished from "realized" intervals, which can look "forward" or "backward" in time [8] (see also earlier work [39, 28] ). In particular, it is important to correct for biases that shorten the intrinsic interval when generation intervals are observed through contact tracing during an outbreak. In this model, disease growth is predicted to be approximately exponential in the early phase of an epidemic, because t.....
Document: The "intrinsic" interval can be distinguished from "realized" intervals, which can look "forward" or "backward" in time [8] (see also earlier work [39, 28] ). In particular, it is important to correct for biases that shorten the intrinsic interval when generation intervals are observed through contact tracing during an outbreak. In this model, disease growth is predicted to be approximately exponential in the early phase of an epidemic, because the depletion in the effective number of susceptibles is relatively small. Thus, for the exponential phase, we write:
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- disease growth and effective number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- disease growth and exponential phase: 1, 2, 3
- disease growth and generation interval: 1, 2
- disease growth and susceptible effective number: 1
- early phase and effective number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23
- early phase and epidemic early phase: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 81
- early phase and exponential phase: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31
- early phase and generation interval: 1, 2, 3, 4
- early work and epidemic early phase: 1
- effective number and epidemic early phase: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
- effective number and exponential phase: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- effective number and generation interval: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15
- effective number and susceptible effective number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
- effective number and susceptible effective number depletion: 1
- epidemic early phase and exponential phase: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- epidemic early phase and generation interval: 1
- exponential phase and generation interval: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- exponential phase and outbreak trace: 1
- generation interval and intrinsic interval: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date