Author: Po Yang; Jun Qi; Shuhao Zhang; Xulong Wang; Gaoshan Bi; Yun Yang; Bin Sheng
Title: Feasibility Study of Mitigation and Suppression Intervention Strategies for Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks in London and Wuhan Document date: 2020_4_4
ID: 7yzib4j0_39
Snippet: But, one notable issue was that the initialisation of parameter M seems to impact on the occurrence of peak time and the length of overall period. In the cases of London, Wuhan and Hubei with M = 15, their peak date were all roughly on the 60 th day from the date of first confirmed case; but UK with M = 12, their peak time was delayed to the 100 th day from the date of first confirmed case. That meant to regions with similar total population, low.....
Document: But, one notable issue was that the initialisation of parameter M seems to impact on the occurrence of peak time and the length of overall period. In the cases of London, Wuhan and Hubei with M = 15, their peak date were all roughly on the 60 th day from the date of first confirmed case; but UK with M = 12, their peak time was delayed to the 100 th day from the date of first confirmed case. That meant to regions with similar total population, low population density potentially reduced overall infectious population, but delayed the peak time of outbreak as a result of longer period.
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