Author: Joel Hellewell; Sam Abbott; Amy Gimma; Nikos I Bosse; Christopher I Jarvis; Timothy W Russell; James D Munday; Adam J Kucharski; W John Edmunds; CMMID nCoV working group; Sebastian Funk; Rosalind M Eggo
Title: Feasibility of controlling 2019-nCoV outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts Document date: 2020_2_11
ID: a8ig607t_35
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.08.20021162 doi: medRxiv preprint higher at all levels of contact tracing when the reproduction number was lower, and fell rapidly for a reproduction number of 3.5. At a reproduction number of 1.5, the effect of isolation is coupled with the chance of stochastic extinction resulting from overdispersion 20 , which is why some outbreaks were controlled even at 0% contacts trac.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.08.20021162 doi: medRxiv preprint higher at all levels of contact tracing when the reproduction number was lower, and fell rapidly for a reproduction number of 3.5. At a reproduction number of 1.5, the effect of isolation is coupled with the chance of stochastic extinction resulting from overdispersion 20 , which is why some outbreaks were controlled even at 0% contacts traced.
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