Author: Yoshiyuki Sugishita; Junko Kurita; Tamie Sugawara; Yasushi Ohkusa
Title: Forecast of the COVID-19 outbreak, collapse of medical facilities, and lockdown effects in Tokyo, Japan Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: 86ovj7xg_5
Snippet: To forecast these phenomena, we construct a simple susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model for Tokyo incorporating the necessary medical resources. Then we predict whether a collapse of medical facilities occurs, in addition to the magnitude of mortality if a collapse were to occur......
Document: To forecast these phenomena, we construct a simple susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model for Tokyo incorporating the necessary medical resources. Then we predict whether a collapse of medical facilities occurs, in addition to the magnitude of mortality if a collapse were to occur.
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