Author: Yoshiyuki Sugishita; Junko Kurita; Tamie Sugawara; Yasushi Ohkusa
Title: Forecast of the COVID-19 outbreak, collapse of medical facilities, and lockdown effects in Tokyo, Japan Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: 86ovj7xg_19
Snippet: However, if patients requiring care at an ICU or respirator cannot receive it, then we assumed that the CFR among them was 100%. We define the collapse of medical facilities as circumstances under which the necessary ICU bed number becomes greater than 70% of all existing ICU beds. In Tokyo, there are 1000 ICU beds. Therefore, if the necessary number of ICU beds becomes greater than 700, medical service at the facilities will collapse. The CFR am.....
Document: However, if patients requiring care at an ICU or respirator cannot receive it, then we assumed that the CFR among them was 100%. We define the collapse of medical facilities as circumstances under which the necessary ICU bed number becomes greater than 70% of all existing ICU beds. In Tokyo, there are 1000 ICU beds. Therefore, if the necessary number of ICU beds becomes greater than 700, medical service at the facilities will collapse. The CFR among patients who need care at an ICU but do not receive it is 100%.
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