Selected article for: "recovered population and susceptible population"
Author: Xiang Zhou; Na Hong; Yingying Ma; Jie He; Huizhen Jiang; Chun Liu; Guangliang Shan; Longxiang Su; Weiguo Zhu; Yun Long
Title: Forecasting the Worldwide Spread of COVID-19 based on Logistic Model and SEIR Model
  • Document date: 2020_3_30
    • ID: 52zjm9jt_23
    Snippet: The initial populations of each country were acquired from published data 13 , and the initial infected and recovered population was set based on the reported data 9 . Model parameters are estimated on the basis of fitting reported data from the initial date, and the probability of transmission per contact of each country was estimated using early-stage data from each country based on Monte Carlo simulation. We assumed that the median incubation .....
    Document: The initial populations of each country were acquired from published data 13 , and the initial infected and recovered population was set based on the reported data 9 . Model parameters are estimated on the basis of fitting reported data from the initial date, and the probability of transmission per contact of each country was estimated using early-stage data from each country based on Monte Carlo simulation. We assumed that the median incubation period was 5-6 days (ranging from 0-14 days) based on the WHO report 14 , the quarantine proportion of uninfected susceptible individuals was 60%~80% of the population (under the assumption that a strict largescale quarantine policy is executed) with the period set as 28 days, and the mortality rate was derived from reported data of each country. Based on the above assumptions, we implemented the adjusted SEIR model to obtain the minimal estimation.

    Search related documents:
    Co phrase search for related documents
    • country initial population and initial population: 1
    • early stage and incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
    • early stage and initial date: 1, 2
    • early stage and initial population: 1, 2
    • early stage and median incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
    • incubation period and initial date: 1, 2
    • incubation period and initial population: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
    • incubation period and median incubation period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
    • initial population and median incubation period: 1