Selected article for: "cc NC ND International license and significantly decrease"
Author: Xiang Zhou; Na Hong; Yingying Ma; Jie He; Huizhen Jiang; Chun Liu; Guangliang Shan; Longxiang Su; Weiguo Zhu; Yun Long
Title: Forecasting the Worldwide Spread of COVID-19 based on Logistic Model and SEIR Model
  • Document date: 2020_3_30
    • ID: 52zjm9jt_39
    Snippet: According to our parameter estimation methods, we disclosed the dynamics of the number of cases. The Scenario 3 estimation is based on the strict quarantine assumption, and the results showed that implementing the control measures would decrease the epidemic peak significantly and bring it forward. This supports the conclusion that the contact rate is an important factor that reflects the effects of control measures; with the formulation and impl.....
    Document: According to our parameter estimation methods, we disclosed the dynamics of the number of cases. The Scenario 3 estimation is based on the strict quarantine assumption, and the results showed that implementing the control measures would decrease the epidemic peak significantly and bring it forward. This supports the conclusion that the contact rate is an important factor that reflects the effects of control measures; with the formulation and implementation of extreme epidemic prevention measures to reduce the rate of contact, the epidemic size and peak would . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.

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