Author: Slav W Hermanowicz
Title: Forecasting the Wuhan coronavirus (2019-nCoV) epidemics using a simple (simplistic) model - update (Feb. 8, 2020) Document date: 2020_2_5
ID: 8kdtpwbv_16
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10. 1101 However, starting from January 28 (day 42) there was a marked deviation from the exponential curve, in line with logistic growth. This decline of the growth rate is clearly demonstrated by a steady decline of the effective reproduction number Re (fourth column in Table 1 ) calculated simply as a ratio of cases on consecutive days.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10. 1101 However, starting from January 28 (day 42) there was a marked deviation from the exponential curve, in line with logistic growth. This decline of the growth rate is clearly demonstrated by a steady decline of the effective reproduction number Re (fourth column in Table 1 ) calculated simply as a ratio of cases on consecutive days
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