Author: Anna L. Ziff; Robert M. Ziff
Title: Fractal kinetics of COVID-19 pandemic Document date: 2020_2_20
ID: jljjqs6m_44
Snippet: In recent days there has been a drop-off in the growth of new confirmed cases from China, suggesting an attenuation of the pandemic. We do not see that drop-off in the death rate. There are two possible explanations for this discrepancy: (1) the number of confirmed cases may be showing the variability as it has in the past, and the current numbers are not capturing the actual situation, or (2) the pandemic is indeed slowing down but it will take .....
Document: In recent days there has been a drop-off in the growth of new confirmed cases from China, suggesting an attenuation of the pandemic. We do not see that drop-off in the death rate. There are two possible explanations for this discrepancy: (1) the number of confirmed cases may be showing the variability as it has in the past, and the current numbers are not capturing the actual situation, or (2) the pandemic is indeed slowing down but it will take a while (perhaps a week) for that to show up in the fatality data. Of course, we hope the latter is the case, but are not entirely confident considering the history of the reporting problems concerning this pandemic.
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