Author: Jian Lu
Title: A New, Simple Projection Model for COVID-19 Pandemic Document date: 2020_3_24
ID: 1y0pl31i_3
Snippet: Making use of primary data at the initial stage of the outbreak, right after the drastic containment measure imposed in different countries and regions, this new projection model is an integrative multi-parameters model that evaluates the effectiveness of the government interventions while forecasting the spread of virus. As mentioned above, such effectiveness is affected by two other major factors: public response (including how much awareness t.....
Document: Making use of primary data at the initial stage of the outbreak, right after the drastic containment measure imposed in different countries and regions, this new projection model is an integrative multi-parameters model that evaluates the effectiveness of the government interventions while forecasting the spread of virus. As mentioned above, such effectiveness is affected by two other major factors: public response (including how much awareness they have, the level of their cooperation) as well as efficiency of healthcare system (including the capacity, advancement, and effectiveness).
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