Author: Yi Li; Xianhong Yin; Meng Liang; Xiaoyu Liu; Meng Hao; Yi Wang
Title: A Note on COVID-19 Diagnosis Number Prediction Model in China Document date: 2020_2_23
ID: goqgv2cc_2
Snippet: The spread of COVID-19 is expeditious. According to WHO statistics, the total number of diagnosed people in China was 309 in Jan 21 8 , but rapidly grew to 4537 in Jan 27 9 . Considering a simple constant exponential growth rate model [10] [11] , the diagnosis number will be unimaginable soon. This triggered a major concern and motivated this study [12] [13] [14] . A mathematical model is required to predict the spread trend and emergent situatio.....
Document: The spread of COVID-19 is expeditious. According to WHO statistics, the total number of diagnosed people in China was 309 in Jan 21 8 , but rapidly grew to 4537 in Jan 27 9 . Considering a simple constant exponential growth rate model [10] [11] , the diagnosis number will be unimaginable soon. This triggered a major concern and motivated this study [12] [13] [14] . A mathematical model is required to predict the spread trend and emergent situation.
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