Author: Chloe N Schooling; Norbert Gyenge; Visakan Kadirkamanathan; James J.P. Alix
Title: Forecasting Hospital Staff Availability During The COVID-19 Epidemic Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: e1iek3jx_8
Snippet: We also examine the effect of variation in daily work infection rates over time with a changing infection risk curve generated using a combination of exponential and sigmoid functions to represent the potential variations in risk over the coming months. The initial increase grows exponentially in line with the rapid growth in covid-19 patient numbers. Once the peak is reached there is a plateau for 16 days (e.g. figure 4 ), in keeping with report.....
Document: We also examine the effect of variation in daily work infection rates over time with a changing infection risk curve generated using a combination of exponential and sigmoid functions to represent the potential variations in risk over the coming months. The initial increase grows exponentially in line with the rapid growth in covid-19 patient numbers. Once the peak is reached there is a plateau for 16 days (e.g. figure 4 ), in keeping with reporting infection rate figures in Italy 7 and Spain 8 . Following this a gradual decline in risk starts to occur. As the definitive rate of decline is unknown an estimation employing a mirrored sigmoid, reaching second plateau by 3 months, is used.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- change infection and patient number: 1
- change infection and peak reach: 1
- change infection and report infection: 1, 2, 3, 4
- change infection and work infection: 1, 2
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date