Author: Jose Lourenco; Robert Paton; Mahan Ghafari; Moritz Kraemer; Craig Thompson; Peter Simmonds; Paul Klenerman; Sunetra Gupta
Title: Fundamental principles of epidemic spread highlight the immediate need for large-scale serological surveys to assess the stage of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic Document date: 2020_3_26
ID: n10abfvd_10
Snippet: Overall, these results underscore the dependence of the inferred epidemic curve on the assumed fraction of the population vulnerable to severe disease ( ) showing significant Ï population level immunity accruing by mid March in the UK as is decreased to plausible Ï values ( Figure 3 ). They also suggest a way of determining this fraction by measuring the proportion of the population already exposed to SARS-CoV-2......
Document: Overall, these results underscore the dependence of the inferred epidemic curve on the assumed fraction of the population vulnerable to severe disease ( ) showing significant Ï population level immunity accruing by mid March in the UK as is decreased to plausible Ï values ( Figure 3 ). They also suggest a way of determining this fraction by measuring the proportion of the population already exposed to SARS-CoV-2.
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