Selected article for: "main reason and peak time"
Author: Xiang Zhou; Na Hong; Yingying Ma; Jie He; Huizhen Jiang; Chun Liu; Guangliang Shan; Longxiang Su; Weiguo Zhu; Yun Long
Title: Forecasting the Worldwide Spread of COVID-19 based on Logistic Model and SEIR Model
  • Document date: 2020_3_30
    • ID: 52zjm9jt_47
    Snippet: The high mortality was reported because the main reason for undetected transmission is probably that some of the cases are asymptomatic or lack testing kits. Our Scenario 2 and Scenario 3 are separately based on maximal assumption (without any interventions) and minimal assumption (with strict interventions). In Scenario 3, under the assumption that infected people are promptly tested and counted, the adjusted model suggested that the peak time w.....
    Document: The high mortality was reported because the main reason for undetected transmission is probably that some of the cases are asymptomatic or lack testing kits. Our Scenario 2 and Scenario 3 are separately based on maximal assumption (without any interventions) and minimal assumption (with strict interventions). In Scenario 3, under the assumption that infected people are promptly tested and counted, the adjusted model suggested that the peak time will be reached after the strict implementation of two large-scale rounds of 14 days of quarantine. The decrease in the epidemic size in Japan and South Korea showed positive evidence, as shown in Table 1 .

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