Author: Anatoly Zhigljavsky; Jack Noonan
                    Title: Generic probabilistic modelling and non-homogeneity issues for the UK epidemic of COVID-19  Document date: 2020_4_7
                    ID: gm1mb8w5_25
                    
                    Snippet: Example 1. Assume that the epidemic in Birmingham (with population size N 1, 086m) was running uninterrupted according to the scenario depicted in Figure 1 . The maximum value of I(t)/N is 0.163 giving the maximum expected daily death toll of 0.163 · 1086000 · 0.009/21 75.8 assuming we use UK experts value r = 0.009......
                    
                    
                    
                     
                    
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            
                                Document: Example 1. Assume that the epidemic in Birmingham (with population size N 1, 086m) was running uninterrupted according to the scenario depicted in Figure 1 . The maximum value of I(t)/N is 0.163 giving the maximum expected daily death toll of 0.163 · 1086000 · 0.009/21 75.8 assuming we use UK experts value r = 0.009.
 
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