COVID-19 Fatality Rate Classification using Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) for Imbalance Class

Oladunni, T.; Stephan, J.; Coulibaly, L. A.

SARS-Cov-2 is not to be introduced anymore. The global pandemic that originated more than a year ago in Wuhan, China has claimed thousands of lives. Since the arrival of this plague, face mask has become part of our dressing code. The focus of this study is to design, develop and evaluate a COVID-19 fatality rate classifier at the county level. The proposed model predicts fatality rate as low, moderate, or high. This will help government and decision makers to improve mitigation strategy and provide measures to reduce the spread of the disease. Tourists and travelers will also find the work useful in planning of trips. Dataset used in the experiment contained imbalanced fatality levels. Therefore, class imbalance was offset using SMOTE. Evaluation of the proposed model was based on precision, F1 score, accuracy, and ROC curve. Five learning algorithms were trained and evaluated. Experimental results showed the Bagging model has the best performance.