Author: Jose Lourenco; Robert Paton; Mahan Ghafari; Moritz Kraemer; Craig Thompson; Peter Simmonds; Paul Klenerman; Sunetra Gupta
Title: Fundamental principles of epidemic spread highlight the immediate need for large-scale serological surveys to assess the stage of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic Document date: 2020_3_26
ID: n10abfvd_17
Snippet: Model output on cumulative death counts ( ) is fitted to the reported time series of deaths Λ (see Data) using a Bayesian MCMC approach previously implemented in other modelling studies [7] [8] [9] [10] . Model variables are summarized in Table 1 . [11] [12] [13] infectious period (days) 1/ σ Gaussian distribution G(M=4.5, SD=1) [11, [14] [15] [16] transmission coefficient β R β = σ 0 --time (days) between infection and death ψ Gaussian dis.....
Document: Model output on cumulative death counts ( ) is fitted to the reported time series of deaths Λ (see Data) using a Bayesian MCMC approach previously implemented in other modelling studies [7] [8] [9] [10] . Model variables are summarized in Table 1 . [11] [12] [13] infectious period (days) 1/ σ Gaussian distribution G(M=4.5, SD=1) [11, [14] [15] [16] transmission coefficient β R β = σ 0 --time (days) between infection and death ψ Gaussian distribution G(M=17, SD=2) [14] probability of dying with severe disease θ Gaussian distribution G(M=0.14, SD=0.007) [1, 2, 11, 17] proportion of population at risk of severe disease Ï
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- MCMC approach and time series: 1
- model output and population proportion: 1
- model output and severe disease: 1, 2, 3
- model output and severe disease risk: 1, 2
- model output and time series: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
- model variable and population proportion: 1
- model variable and severe disease: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
- model variable and severe disease risk: 1
- model variable and time series: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- modelling study and population proportion: 1, 2
- modelling study and severe disease: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
- modelling study and severe disease risk: 1, 2
- modelling study and time series: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
- population proportion and severe disease: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53
- population proportion and severe disease risk: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
- population proportion and time series: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
- severe disease and time series: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23
- severe disease risk and time series: 1
- time series and transmission coefficient: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date