Selected article for: "early stage and logistic model"
Author: Ke Wu; Didier Darcet; Qian Wang; Didier Sornette
Title: Generalized logistic growth modeling of the COVID-19 outbreak in 29 provinces in China and in the rest of the world
  • Document date: 2020_3_16
    • ID: 9607dy2o_67
    Snippet: Most of the countries analyzed here are still at an early stage of the outbreak, i.e., the cumulative number of cases is not yet reaching the inflection point. In this regime, the generalized Richards model, which has an additional parameter α describing the asymmetry between growth and decay of the incidence curve, is not sufficiently constrained by the limited available data. Therefore, we consider the following three simpler models with fewer.....
    Document: Most of the countries analyzed here are still at an early stage of the outbreak, i.e., the cumulative number of cases is not yet reaching the inflection point. In this regime, the generalized Richards model, which has an additional parameter α describing the asymmetry between growth and decay of the incidence curve, is not sufficiently constrained by the limited available data. Therefore, we consider the following three simpler models with fewer parameters: -Logistic growing model:

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