Author: Bimandra A Djaafara; Natsuko Imai; Esther Hamblion; Benido Impouma; Christl A Donnelly; Anne Cori
Title: A quantitative framework to define the end of an outbreak: application to Ebola Virus Disease Document date: 2020_2_20
ID: nnkholfe_36
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.17.20024042 doi: medRxiv preprint longer when the value of the is higher. On the other hand, a higher level of overdispersion in the offspring distribution leads to shorter waiting times to reach <5% probability of cases arising in the future. Outbreaks with no overdispersion tend to have a consistent outbreak length and total number of cases during the outbreak......
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.17.20024042 doi: medRxiv preprint longer when the value of the is higher. On the other hand, a higher level of overdispersion in the offspring distribution leads to shorter waiting times to reach <5% probability of cases arising in the future. Outbreaks with no overdispersion tend to have a consistent outbreak length and total number of cases during the outbreak.
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