Selected article for: "maximum value and time maximum value"

Author: Rosario Megna
Title: First month of the epidemic caused by COVID-19 in Italy: current status and real-time outbreak development forecast
  • Document date: 2020_3_30
  • ID: cxmw7bfu_21
    Snippet: In addition, duration of the epidemic was estimated of 2 months about. Since the theoretical cumulative curve has an asymptotic pattern (i.e. the maximum value is achieved for the t time towards infinite), considering 99% of the time from the beginning of the outbreak is a convention. Therefore, if instead of 99% of time we considered 99,9%, the overall number of days estimated for the epidemic to come to an end increases by 20% (i.e. ten more da.....
    Document: In addition, duration of the epidemic was estimated of 2 months about. Since the theoretical cumulative curve has an asymptotic pattern (i.e. the maximum value is achieved for the t time towards infinite), considering 99% of the time from the beginning of the outbreak is a convention. Therefore, if instead of 99% of time we considered 99,9%, the overall number of days estimated for the epidemic to come to an end increases by 20% (i.e. ten more days need to be added to the calculation of time). Moreover, several factors could affect the total number of cases and the duration of the epidemic. For example, a contribution to the spread of outbreaks in southern Italy was caused by the movement of students and workers from Northern to Southern Italy following the first governmental restrictions. On the other hand, more stringent restrictions imposed later on by the Government could lower the expected number of total cases and reduce the number of days towards the end of the epidemic.

    Search related documents:
    Co phrase search for related documents
    • case total number and epidemic end: 1
    • case total number and expected number: 1, 2, 3
    • cumulative curve and day number: 1
    • cumulative curve and expected number: 1, 2
    • day number and epidemic duration: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
    • day number and epidemic end: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12
    • day number and expected number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
    • day number reduce and expected number: 1
    • epidemic duration and expected number: 1, 2, 3, 4
    • epidemic end and expected number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8