Selected article for: "aggregate level and drastic control"
Author: Ke Wu; Didier Darcet; Qian Wang; Didier Sornette
Title: Generalized logistic growth modeling of the COVID-19 outbreak in 29 provinces in China and in the rest of the world
  • Document date: 2020_3_16
    • ID: 9607dy2o_106
    Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.11.20034363 doi: medRxiv preprint provinces in China, which allowed us to draw some lessons useful to interpret the results of a similar modeling exercise performed on Japan, South Korea, Iran, Italy and Europe (46 countries aggregated). Our analysis dissects the development of the epidemics in China and the impact of the drastic control .....
    Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.11.20034363 doi: medRxiv preprint provinces in China, which allowed us to draw some lessons useful to interpret the results of a similar modeling exercise performed on Japan, South Korea, Iran, Italy and Europe (46 countries aggregated). Our analysis dissects the development of the epidemics in China and the impact of the drastic control measures both at the aggregate level and within each province. We documented four phases: I-early stage outbreak (Jan 19 -Jan 24, 6 days), II-fast growth phase approaching the peak of the incidence curve (Jan 25 -Feb 1, 8 days), III-slow growth phase approaching the end of the outbreak (Feb 2 -Feb 14, 13 days) and IV-the end of the outbreak (Feb 15 -8 March).

    Search related documents:
    Co phrase search for related documents
    • aggregate level and modeling exercise: 1
    • aggregate level and outbreak end: 1
    • China epidemic and drastic control: 1
    • China epidemic and early stage outbreak: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
    • China epidemic and growth phase: 1, 2, 3
    • China epidemic and incidence curve: 1, 2, 3
    • China epidemic and incidence curve peak: 1
    • China epidemic and outbreak end: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
    • China epidemic and stage outbreak: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15
    • drastic control and growth phase: 1
    • drastic control and modeling exercise: 1
    • drastic control and outbreak end: 1, 2
    • early stage outbreak and growth phase: 1, 2
    • early stage outbreak and incidence curve: 1
    • early stage outbreak and outbreak end: 1, 2, 3
    • early stage outbreak and stage outbreak: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
    • early stage outbreak phase and growth phase: 1
    • early stage outbreak phase and stage outbreak: 1
    • growth phase and incidence curve: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7