Author: Pavan Kumar; Himangshu Kalita; Shashikanta Patairiya; Yagya Datt Sharma; Chintan Nanda; Meenu Rani; Jamal Rahmai; Akshaya Srikanth Bhagavathula
Title: Forecasting the dynamics of COVID-19 Pandemic in Top 15 countries in April 2020 through ARIMA Model with Machine Learning Approach Document date: 2020_3_31
ID: lxakf79k_13
Snippet: Our findings revealed linearity in the current cumulative cases and showed a rapid exponential growth phase in the world span may occur roughly during April 8 to April 30, 2020, when the number of COVID-19 cases may skyrocket near to one million in the USA, 300,000 in Italy, and 250,000 in Germany, 150,000 in the United Kingdom and Iran (120,000). Other countries with a smaller number of cases but showing a sharp upward trend include Switzerland,.....
Document: Our findings revealed linearity in the current cumulative cases and showed a rapid exponential growth phase in the world span may occur roughly during April 8 to April 30, 2020, when the number of COVID-19 cases may skyrocket near to one million in the USA, 300,000 in Italy, and 250,000 in Germany, 150,000 in the United Kingdom and Iran (120,000). Other countries with a smaller number of cases but showing a sharp upward trend include Switzerland, Austria, and Canada. However, the cases of COVID-19 in China and South Korea remain stable. Public health officials in these countries need to grasp the powerful wave of exponential growth before COVID-19 collapses the entire health system.
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