Selected article for: "close contact and public health"
Author: Xiang Zhou; Na Hong; Yingying Ma; Jie He; Huizhen Jiang; Chun Liu; Guangliang Shan; Longxiang Su; Weiguo Zhu; Yun Long
Title: Forecasting the Worldwide Spread of COVID-19 based on Logistic Model and SEIR Model
  • Document date: 2020_3_30
    • ID: 52zjm9jt_19
    Snippet: In Scenario 3, we further used an adjusted SEIR model for COVID-19 estimation. According to recent studies, some investigations was conducted to measure the contribution to epidemic dynamics by public health intervention factors, such as the government locking down cities, taking measures to track and quarantine people who have close contact with confirmed cases, advocating citizens to maintain social distance and wash their hands frequently, a c.....
    Document: In Scenario 3, we further used an adjusted SEIR model for COVID-19 estimation. According to recent studies, some investigations was conducted to measure the contribution to epidemic dynamics by public health intervention factors, such as the government locking down cities, taking measures to track and quarantine people who have close contact with confirmed cases, advocating citizens to maintain social distance and wash their hands frequently, a conclusion was yield that it will limit the number of confirmed cases 96% fewer than expected in the absence of interventions by implementing multiple measures together and interactively 12 . Therefore, this adjusted SEIR model considered the contact rate and quarantined proportion of COVID-19

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