Author: Amir Shlomai; Ari Leshno; Ella H Sklan; Moshe Leshno
Title: Global versus focused isolation during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic-A cost-effectiveness analysis Document date: 2020_4_1
ID: 1mpp7sbt_37
Snippet: We first tested our model under a situation in which no intervention is being undertaken (strategy 3, see methods section). Starting with a baseline of 10,000 carriers and 3,000 infected individuals without any interventions, the maximal number of infected individuals, 2.4 million (Fig. 1, I) , will be reached after 114 days and about 200,000 people will die (Fig. 1, D) . In case we start with a smaller number of initially infected individuals (1.....
Document: We first tested our model under a situation in which no intervention is being undertaken (strategy 3, see methods section). Starting with a baseline of 10,000 carriers and 3,000 infected individuals without any interventions, the maximal number of infected individuals, 2.4 million (Fig. 1, I) , will be reached after 114 days and about 200,000 people will die (Fig. 1, D) . In case we start with a smaller number of initially infected individuals (10) and 100 carriers, the total numbers of infected individuals and of fatalities will not change, but the maximal number of infected individuals will be reached after 190 days.
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