Author: Andrea Torneri; Pieter Jules Karel Libin; Joris Vanderlocht; Anne-Mieke Vandamme; Johan Neyts; Niel Hens
Title: A prospect on the use of antiviral drugs to control local outbreaks of COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_20
ID: 9sr5b44k_52
Snippet: author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. Figure 8 : Final size distribution (left panel) and mean peak incidence for Scenario IAS (yellow), Scenario IBS (green) and Scenario IBTBS (blue) when the quarantine contact rate is λ q =0·25 λ, R 0 =2·5 and the test detect positively an infectious individual after 4 days since infection. In the left panel, for each scenario we report the probability that .....
Document: author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. Figure 8 : Final size distribution (left panel) and mean peak incidence for Scenario IAS (yellow), Scenario IBS (green) and Scenario IBTBS (blue) when the quarantine contact rate is λ q =0·25 λ, R 0 =2·5 and the test detect positively an infectious individual after 4 days since infection. In the left panel, for each scenario we report the probability that a simulation leads to a number of cases smaller than the 10% of the population (purple asterisks). In the right panel, together with the point estimates we report the 2·5% and 97·5 % percentiles.
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