Selected article for: "growth acceleration and real time"
Author: Yuri Tani Utsunomiya; Adam Taiti Harth Utsunomiya; Rafaela Beatriz Pintor Torrecilha; Silvana Cassia Paulan; Marco Milanesi; Jose Fernando Garcia
Title: Growth rate and acceleration analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic reveals the effect of public health measures in real time
  • Document date: 2020_4_2
    • ID: 39ywzw6a_10
    Snippet: We deployed a simple framework for the real-time analysis of COVID-19 prevalence. We were able to demonstrate that the real-time decomposition of growth curves of COVID-19 cases into growth rate and acceleration can be a powerful tool to monitor the impact of public health measures on the spread of the disease. We also showed that restrictions to human mobility can significantly decelerate the incidence of new cases within weeks. Furthermore, we .....
    Document: We deployed a simple framework for the real-time analysis of COVID-19 prevalence. We were able to demonstrate that the real-time decomposition of growth curves of COVID-19 cases into growth rate and acceleration can be a powerful tool to monitor the impact of public health measures on the spread of the disease. We also showed that restrictions to human mobility can significantly decelerate the incidence of new cases within weeks. Furthermore, we found that the prevalence of the disease is more complex and dynamic than previously appreciated. This observation will have important implications to assumptions adopted in mathematical models to predict the evolution of the pandemic.

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