Author: Ke Wu; Didier Darcet; Qian Wang; Didier Sornette
Title: Generalized logistic growth modeling of the COVID-19 outbreak in 29 provinces in China and in the rest of the world Document date: 2020_3_16
ID: 9607dy2o_36
Snippet: In this period, all provinces continued to implement their strict measures, striving to bring the epidemics to an end. The growth rate of the number of confirmed cases declined exponentially with similar rates as in Phase II, pushing down the growth rate from 10% to 1%. In phase III, all provinces have passed the peak of the incidence curve, which allows us to obtain precise scenarios for the dynamics of the end of the outbreak from the model fit.....
Document: In this period, all provinces continued to implement their strict measures, striving to bring the epidemics to an end. The growth rate of the number of confirmed cases declined exponentially with similar rates as in Phase II, pushing down the growth rate from 10% to 1%. In phase III, all provinces have passed the peak of the incidence curve, which allows us to obtain precise scenarios for the dynamics of the end of the outbreak from the model fits (
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