Author: Charit S Narayanan
Title: A novel cohort analysis approach to determining the case fatality rate of COVID-19 and other infectious diseases Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: bj0pmg6j_28
Snippet: Although they are both erroneous in the midst of an outbreak, they are accurate 165 when the outbreak is over: when everyone who has ever contracted it either recovers or 166 dies, and no one new contracts it. In this situation, the CFR calculated with the simple 167 method would equal the CFR calculated with the completed method. This is because 168 the only difference between the two is that the second method includes ongoing cases. 169 So, whe.....
Document: Although they are both erroneous in the midst of an outbreak, they are accurate 165 when the outbreak is over: when everyone who has ever contracted it either recovers or 166 dies, and no one new contracts it. In this situation, the CFR calculated with the simple 167 method would equal the CFR calculated with the completed method. This is because 168 the only difference between the two is that the second method includes ongoing cases. 169 So, when the epidemic is over, there will be no ongoing cases and they will yield the 170 same CFR.
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