Author: Charit S Narayanan
Title: A novel cohort analysis approach to determining the case fatality rate of COVID-19 and other infectious diseases Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: bj0pmg6j_3
Snippet: The inaccuracies related to calculating the CFR during an ongoing disease outbreak 26 are a known problem. There are primarily three methods that have been discussed in 27 literature pertaining to the evaluation of the CFR. A simple statistical estimate is 28 evaluated by dividing the aggregate number of deaths over the aggregate confirmed 29 cases. This is problematic because it ignores the lag effect; people become infected on 30 different days.....
Document: The inaccuracies related to calculating the CFR during an ongoing disease outbreak 26 are a known problem. There are primarily three methods that have been discussed in 27 literature pertaining to the evaluation of the CFR. A simple statistical estimate is 28 evaluated by dividing the aggregate number of deaths over the aggregate confirmed 29 cases. This is problematic because it ignores the lag effect; people become infected on 30 different days and the mix of their onset-to-death intervals is not taken into account.
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