Author: Anatoly Zhigljavsky; Roger Whitaker; Ivan Fesenko; Yakov Kremnitzer; Jack Noonan
Title: Comparison of different exit scenarios from the lock-down for COVID-19 epidemic in the UK and assessing uncertainty of the predictions Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: mipdahk4_99
Snippet: Conclusion. Increase in the reproductive number after lifting the lock-down would inevitably imply a significant increase in the number of severe cases and expected death numbers. 3.6 Sensitivity to k M and k S , the shape parameter of the Erlang distributions for mild and severe cases.....
Document: Conclusion. Increase in the reproductive number after lifting the lock-down would inevitably imply a significant increase in the number of severe cases and expected death numbers. 3.6 Sensitivity to k M and k S , the shape parameter of the Erlang distributions for mild and severe cases
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