Author: Yaesoubi, Reza; Havumaki, Joshua; Chitwood, Melanie H.; Menzies, Nicolas A.; Gonsalves, Gregg; Salomon, Joshua; Paltiel, A David; Cohen, Ted
Title: Adaptive policies for use of physical distancing interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic Cord-id: svkbc64q Document date: 2020_6_1
ID: svkbc64q
Snippet: Policymakers need decision tools to determine when to use physical distancing interventions to maximize the control of COVID-19 while minimizing the economic and social costs of these interventions. We develop a pragmatic decision tool to characterize adaptive policies that combine real-time surveillance data with clear decision rules to guide when to trigger, continue, or stop physical distancing interventions during the current pandemic. In model-based experiments, we find that adaptive polici
Document: Policymakers need decision tools to determine when to use physical distancing interventions to maximize the control of COVID-19 while minimizing the economic and social costs of these interventions. We develop a pragmatic decision tool to characterize adaptive policies that combine real-time surveillance data with clear decision rules to guide when to trigger, continue, or stop physical distancing interventions during the current pandemic. In model-based experiments, we find that adaptive policies characterized by our proposed approach prevent more deaths and require a shorter overall duration of physical distancing than alternative physical distancing policies. Our proposed approach can readily be extended to more complex models and interventions.
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