Author: Andrew Clark; Mark Jit; Charlotte Warren-Gash; Bruce Guthrie; Harry HX Wang; Stewart W Mercer; Colin Sanderson; Martin McKee; Christopher Troeger; Kanyin I Ong; Francesco Checchi; Pablo Perel; Sarah Joseph; Hamish P Gibbs; Amitava Banerjee; Rosalind M Eggo
Title: How many are at increased risk of severe COVID-19 disease? Rapid global, regional and national estimates for 2020 Document date: 2020_4_22
ID: czuq8rw5_23
Snippet: Asthma is relatively common, and mild asthma is not listed as a high risk group for shielding so we modified GBD estimates of asthma to account only for moderate-to-severe cases (defined as British Thoracic Society Steps 4, 5 and 6). 14 Based on published evidence from the UK we assumed these were 15% of total asthma cases aged <5 years, 17% aged 5-19 years, 23% aged 20-54 years, and 43% in those aged 55+ years. 15 For HIV/AIDS, we included all p.....
Document: Asthma is relatively common, and mild asthma is not listed as a high risk group for shielding so we modified GBD estimates of asthma to account only for moderate-to-severe cases (defined as British Thoracic Society Steps 4, 5 and 6). 14 Based on published evidence from the UK we assumed these were 15% of total asthma cases aged <5 years, 17% aged 5-19 years, 23% aged 20-54 years, and 43% in those aged 55+ years. 15 For HIV/AIDS, we included all populations, including those on ART. However, we carried out a sensitivity analysis to determine how estimates would change if we removed individuals using antiretroviral therapy (ART) for instance if there is found to be no additional risk of HIV in individuals on ART. We used WHO national estimates for ART coverage among those living with HIV/AIDS. 16
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