Author: Corey M Peak; Lauren M Childs; Yonatan H Grad; Caroline O Buckee
Title: Containing Emerging Epidemics: a Quantitative Comparison of Quarantine and Symptom Monitoring Document date: 2016_8_31
ID: 2j4z5rp8_57
Snippet: When risk profiling is imperfect (i.e. PINF < 1), uninfected individuals may be mistakenly traced as contacts and placed under symptom monitoring or quarantine. Such events may be conceptualized as false positives and will decrease PINF; conversely, individuals who are infected but not traced are false negatives and will decrease PCT. We assume that non-infected contacts are followed for a length of time set up the 95 th percentile incubation per.....
Document: When risk profiling is imperfect (i.e. PINF < 1), uninfected individuals may be mistakenly traced as contacts and placed under symptom monitoring or quarantine. Such events may be conceptualized as false positives and will decrease PINF; conversely, individuals who are infected but not traced are false negatives and will decrease PCT. We assume that non-infected contacts are followed for a length of time set up the 95 th percentile incubation period ( !"# !" ), at which point health authorities may conclude the contact was not infected after all. This changes the number of days in quarantine to The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the author/funder. It . https://doi.org/10.1101/072652 doi: bioRxiv preprint
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