Author: Braca, Paolo; Gaglione, Domenico; Marano, Stefano; Millefiori, Leonardo M.; Willett, Peter; Pattipati, Krishna
Title: Quickest Detection of COVID-19 Pandemic Onset Cord-id: vh3fkb1x Document date: 2020_11_20
ID: vh3fkb1x
Snippet: When should restrictive measures be taken to contain the COVID-19 pandemic explosion? An important role for interpreting the pandemic data in a fully rational manner, and thus proactively supporting the political decision makers, is played by signal processing tools. In this paper, we exploit quickest-detection theory applied to pandemic time-series to predict the explosion of COVID-19 infection on a large scale. We develop a version of the celebrated Page's CUSUM test, specifically tailored to
Document: When should restrictive measures be taken to contain the COVID-19 pandemic explosion? An important role for interpreting the pandemic data in a fully rational manner, and thus proactively supporting the political decision makers, is played by signal processing tools. In this paper, we exploit quickest-detection theory applied to pandemic time-series to predict the explosion of COVID-19 infection on a large scale. We develop a version of the celebrated Page's CUSUM test, specifically tailored to pandemic data. Its application to the publicly-available sequence of new positive individuals per day, from different countries, is detailed in [1].
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