Prophylactic host behaviour discourages pathogen exploitation

Mitchell, Evan; Wild, Geoff

Much work has considered the evolution of pathogens, but little is known about how they respond to changes in host behaviour. We build a model where hosts are able to choose to engage in prophylactic measures that reduce the likelihood of disease transmission. This choice is mediated by costs and benefits associated with prophylaxis, but the fraction of hosts engaged in prophylaxis is also affected by population dynamics. We identify a critical cost threshold above which hosts do not engage in prophylaxis. Below the threshold, prophylactic host behaviour does occur and pathogen virulence, measured by the extent to which it exploits its host, is reduced by the action of selection relative to the level that would otherwise be predicted in the absence of prophylaxis. Our work emphasizes the significance of the dual nature of the trade-off faced by the pathogen between balancing transmission and recovery, and creating new infections in hosts engaging or not engaging in prophylaxis.