Author: Xiandeng Jiang; Le Chang; Yanlin Shi
Title: How does the outbreak of 2019-nCoV spread in mainland China? A retrospective analysis of the dynamic transmission routes Document date: 2020_3_6
ID: 4k1i6y98_3
Snippet: During this anti-epidemic war, statistic and mathematical modeling plays a non-negligible role. Among the emerging large volume of studies, the classical susceptible exposed infectious recovered (SEIR) model wth its various extensions is the most popular method [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] . SEIR family models are effective in exploring the epidemic characteristics of the outbreak, forecasting the inflecti.....
Document: During this anti-epidemic war, statistic and mathematical modeling plays a non-negligible role. Among the emerging large volume of studies, the classical susceptible exposed infectious recovered (SEIR) model wth its various extensions is the most popular method [25] [26] [27] [28] [29] [30] [31] [32] [33] [34] [35] [36] [37] [38] . SEIR family models are effective in exploring the epidemic characteristics of the outbreak, forecasting the inflection point and ending time, and deciding the measures to curb the spreading. Despite this, they are less appropriate in identifying transmission routes of the 2019-nCoV outbreak, which is also not thoroughly investigated in existing literature.
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