Author: Sang Woo Park; David Champredon; Joshua S. Weitz; Jonathan Dushoff
Title: A practical generation interval-based approach to inferring the strength of epidemics from their speed Document date: 2018_5_2
ID: jry46itn_43
Snippet: We did a similar analysis for rabies by constructing a pseudo-realistic generation-interval distribution from observed incubation and infectious period distributions (see Fig. 5 ). Since estimates of R for rabies are near 1, there is small difference between the naive estimates and the gamma approximated speed-strength relationship. But, looking at the relationship more broadly, we see that the moment-based approximation would do a poor job of pr.....
Document: We did a similar analysis for rabies by constructing a pseudo-realistic generation-interval distribution from observed incubation and infectious period distributions (see Fig. 5 ). Since estimates of R for rabies are near 1, there is small difference between the naive estimates and the gamma approximated speed-strength relationship. But, looking at the relationship more broadly, we see that the moment-based approximation would do a poor job of predicting the relationship for intermediate or large values of R -in fact, a poorer job than if we use the approximation based on exponentially distributed generation times.
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