Author: Rashmi Pant; Lincoln Priyadarshi Choudhry; Jammy Guru Rajesh; Vijay V Yeldandi
Title: COVID-19 Epidemic Dynamics and Population Projections from Early Days of Case Reporting in a 40 million population from Southern India Document date: 2020_4_21
ID: 9lw1gb3q_12
Snippet: The epidemic curve presented in the different scenarios give a range of the burden of the 209 disease and the scenario of optimisation with the state level data gives a very optimistic 210 scenario. Although the range of scenarios with and without interventions gives us a spread of 211 projections, we however feel that the no interventions scenario may be close to the actual 212 scenario till the second week of April as accumulated cases will ref.....
Document: The epidemic curve presented in the different scenarios give a range of the burden of the 209 disease and the scenario of optimisation with the state level data gives a very optimistic 210 scenario. Although the range of scenarios with and without interventions gives us a spread of 211 projections, we however feel that the no interventions scenario may be close to the actual 212 scenario till the second week of April as accumulated cases will reflect undiagnosed 213
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