Evolution of indicators and service capacity at the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic in Northeast Brazil, 2020.

Marinelli, Natália Pereira; Albuquerque, Layana Pachêco de Araújo; Sousa, Isaura Danielli Borges de; Batista, Francisca Miriane de Araújo; Mascarenhas, Márcio Dênis Medeiros; Rodrigues, Malvina Thais Pacheco

OBJECTIVE to describe the evolution of indicators and capacity for health care in the initial phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in the Northeast region of Brazil. METHODS this was a descriptive study based on COVID-19 case epidemiological bulletins released by the Ministry of Health up until April 1st, 2020. The incidence rate, lethality and number of cumulative daily cases were calculated. RESULTS 1,005 confirmed cases of COVID-19 were identified, most of them in Ceará and Bahia states. The incidence rate was 1.8/100,000 inhabitants and lethality was 2.7%. Ceará was the state with the highest number of cases, with 29.6 new cases per day on average. Average intensive care bed availability in the Northeast region (1.04/10,000 inhab.) was below the national average (2.8/10,000 inhab.). CONCLUSION the indicators suggest that COVID-19 impact is heterogeneous and signal the challenges for health systems in the Northeast Region.