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Author: Morte, Michele Della; Sannino, Francesco
Title: Renormalisation Group approach to pandemics as a time-dependent SIR model
  • Cord-id: 8pf9lt5p
  • Document date: 2020_7_22
  • ID: 8pf9lt5p
    Snippet: We generalise the epidemic Renormalisation Group framework while connecting it to a SIR model with time-dependent coefficients. We then confront the model with COVID-19 in Denmark, Germany, Italy and France and show that the approach works rather well in reproducing the data. We also show that a better understanding of the time dependence of the recovery rate would require extending the model to take into account the number of deaths whenever these are over 15% of the total number of infected ca
    Document: We generalise the epidemic Renormalisation Group framework while connecting it to a SIR model with time-dependent coefficients. We then confront the model with COVID-19 in Denmark, Germany, Italy and France and show that the approach works rather well in reproducing the data. We also show that a better understanding of the time dependence of the recovery rate would require extending the model to take into account the number of deaths whenever these are over 15% of the total number of infected cases.

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